Using model scenarios to predict and evaluate forest-management impacts on soil base saturation at landscape level

Silviculture, forest conversion and technical tools of ecosystem management, such as forest liming, display their effects at the landscape level. Therefore their planning and control should take place at the same scale. The primary objective of this work was to assess soil chemical properties and their changes in relationship to ecosystem management, especially forest conversion and forest liming. We calculated scenario models, based on regression analysis, which allow such an examination in the context of understanding landscape processes which can be expected to operate in the sampling region. Stepwise multiple linear regression analysis was used to predict soil chemical attributes (base saturation, pH, C/N content and stock, exchangeable stocks of Ca and Mg) as indicators of site stability or off-site effects of forest ecosystems such as effects on clean drinking water from forested watersheds. Because of space limitations, in this paper only the modelling results of base saturation are presented. Base saturation was used as an integrative example for other soil chemical properties. The transformation of measurements to the regional scale, i.e., the regionalization, was calculated for the forested parts of two test regions in the Black Forest on the basis of measured chemical properties of 90–150 soil profiles per test region. The models have a spatial resolution of 50×50 m, which is a spatial scale relevant for forestry practice and forest management. Topographic variables (e.g., elevation, aspect, slope gradient, and slope length), the stratigraphic classification of the geologic substrate, stand characteristics from forest inventory data, and finally technical information about forest liming were the auxiliary variables (secondary site properties) that provided indirect information about base saturation and were available for the whole forested area of the test regions. Base saturation could be predicted with an accuracy of ~50–70% (in terms of the multiple R²) by using these properties as predictor variables in multiple linear regression analyses. The explained proportion of variance was unexpectedly high considering the high geomorphological heterogeneity of the two test regions. Based upon the regionalization models, it was possible to establish scenarios showing the landscape-related effects on base saturation that may be achieved by forest conversion towards a higher proportion of forests with broad-leaved mixed stands and by forest liming. These scenarios allow the interactions between several influencing factors and management strategies and the impacts on the target variable to be synoptically judged. Thus the presented regionalization models achieve the role of decision support tools for the planning of forest management at the landscape level. They allow an assessment of the environmental effects of forest management strategies in terms of site sustainability or preservation of water resources in forested catchments.     

水科学中应用数理统计方法应注意

对回归方程误差的影响因素进行了分析，导出了回归方程的均方误差与其影响因素之间的关系式。分析表明，复相关系数(或相关系数)一定时，倚变量的变差系数越大，回归方程的均方误差就越大；回归分析时，应对回归方程的误差进行分析。对于样本均值估计总体均值，给出了基于误差限制的样本容量的计算式。研究表明，应考虑样本变差系数对估计精度的影响。     

多孔管沿程压力分析

针对目前多孔管沿程水头损失计算方法存在的问题,推导出了一个新的多孔管沿程水头损失近似计算公式。利用导出的公式,分析了多孔管沿程的压力变化,这无论是对喷、滴灌工程的规划设计,还是对多孔管水力特性的进一步研究都是有益的。     

A Framework for Valuing Ecological Services of Irrigation Water – A Case of an Irrigation-Wetland System in Sri Lanka

In many countries, irrigation water is usedfor several purposes other than irrigatingfield crops. In Sri Lanka, irrigationwater from canals, wells, and reservoirs isused for domestic purposes, industry,livestock, and fisheries, and it alsocontributes to sustain the environment. However, policy makers and water managersin irrigation systems only take intoaccount water used for irrigating the fieldcrops and sometimes water used for domesticpurposes. Owing to the failure torecognize the different uses and users ofwater, the water in irrigation systems hasbeen undervalued. This paper presents theenvironmental impact of irrigation and aframework for valuing water for itsmultiple and often competing uses,especially focusing on water uses forecological services, in this case wetlands.The south coastal area of Sri Lanka wasselected as a site for a case study, including2,610 ha of irrigated area and adownstream wetland area of 2,250 ha whichhas five lagoons. This wetland areacombines coastal, marine and freshwaterecosystems in a tropical environment inwhich distinct plant and animal speciescoexist in a delicate balance. All users ofwater and other resources, and theirenvironmental problems were identified. Thispaper discusses the policy and managementimplications of valuing water for competinguses.     

多孔管的变径设计

要保证孔口压力差不超过允许范围条件下，一条多孔管可由两种管径不同的管段组成，即采用变径法设计。本文考虑了影响多孔管沿程压力的因素，导出了各种地形坡度下变径设计计算公式。这一方法可供喷灌及微灌工程设计参考。     

涌泉根灌多点源交汇入渗湿润体试验研究

在米脂山地微灌枣树示范基地进行原状土涌泉根灌入渗试验,研究了多点源交汇入渗条件下涌泉根灌湿润体特征值的变化规律.结果表明,涌泉根灌多点源交汇入渗孔洞处和交汇面处的湿润锋运移距离与入渗时间均符合幂函数关系,交汇面处的湿润锋运移速度比孔洞处的快,最终交汇入渗湿润土体沿孔洞布置方向的剖面形状近似带状;在孔洞底部周围的中间区域...     

Case study on an integrated operation planning of multiple reservoirs for irrigation in Japan

In spite of several attempts at integrated operation planning, multiple reservoirs in Japan have been operated by trial and error without any formal rules. Subjects of integrated operation are not only showing optimal usage of daily storage levels as an operational policy but also providing a countermeasure for droughts.Objectives of this study are to make a formal operation rule of multiple reservoirs for irrigation using the theory of Required Storage for Drought Curve (RSDC) Method and to propose operational policy for multiple reservoirs as large water supply systems. The Iwaki river basin, on which there are four reservoirs for irrigation parallel with each other, is considered to be a model river basin with a large water system for this case study.From results of simulations using historical data, comparing an individual operation rule with an integrated operation rule on several indices, effectiveness of the latter rule is recognized. Under integrated operation, water losses are minimized and excessive water conservation can be avoided over the whole area to benefit while target river discharge is maintained at key control points because water usage from all reservoirs is well balanced in relation to water availability.     

基于模糊理想点法的多区域多目标

水利工程项目建设次序对水资源方案实施的效果影响较大。因此研究中选用防洪、供水、农村水利水电发展、生态环境保护、工程投资作为水资源方案实施效果的评价目标。考虑到不同区域水利建设的重点不同，本文利用模糊决策分析理论确定出各评价目标在不同区域的权重，基于模糊理想点法建立评价模型，并以湖南省水利工程建设排序为实例进行分析，得出理想的工程排序结果。     

春小麦、胡萝卜复种栽培技术研究

春小麦下茬复种胡萝卜栽培模式可提高单位面积土地利用率,促进农民增产增收。从品种选择、栽培过程、田间管理和收获几方面介绍春小麦、胡萝卜复种栽培技术的操作要点,以期为该栽培模式的大面积推广应用提供技术支持。     

基于AT89S52和DS18B20的多点温度检测报警系统

为了对温室大棚室温实施监测、避免局部温度过高,利用多片DS18B20单总线型数字温度传感器,采用外部供电方式,结合AT89S52单片机,外加串口电路、报警电路以及显示模块,设计了多点温度测量并报警的硬件系统。依据DS18B20型温度传感器操作指令,首先读取各传感器的序列号,并确定传感器对应的各点位置关系,定时循环读出各个传感器的温度值并循环显示,单片机依据设定的报警温度上下限做出报警处理;同时,也可利用串口把各点的温度值传给上位机作进一步的处理。实例表明,该系统工作稳定,操作方便,成本低廉,实现了温室大棚中的多点温度检测以及越限报警功能,测温误差在±0.5oC以内。